2026 World Cup Bracket
All 48 qualified teams across 12 groups. P(advance) shown is our model's probability each team reaches the Round of 32. Three-way percentages on each match are home win / draw / away win from our Elo model. Last updated 2026-06-07 01:42 UTC.
Format: top 2 from each of 12 groups plus the 8 best third-place teams advance to a Round of 32, then single-elim through Final on July 19 at MetLife Stadium.
Group stage
Group A
- Mexico186098%
- Czech Republic172684%
- South Africa15179%
- South Korea172181%
Group B
- Canada178498%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina159120%
- Qatar14234%
- Switzerland188999%
Group C
- Brazil198498%
- Morocco182292%
- Haiti15326%
- Scotland176787%
Group D
- USA172160%
- Australia178368%
- Paraguay183380%
- Türkiye190289%
Group E
- Germany192399%
- Curaçao14363%
- Ivory Coast167644%
- Ecuador193399%
Group F
- Netherlands196197%
- Japan190494%
- Sweden171960%
- Tunisia163617%
Group G
- Belgium186795%
- Egypt169962%
- Iran176487%
- New Zealand158516%
Group H
- Spain2165100%
- Cape Verde15497%
- Saudi Arabia15689%
- Uruguay189297%
Group I
- France208199%
- Senegal187889%
- Iraq16088%
- Norway191292%
Group J
- Argentina211399%
- Algeria174370%
- Austria182785%
- Jordan169034%
Group K
- Portugal198497%
- Colombia197597%
- Congo DR165517%
- Uzbekistan172770%
Group L
- England202099%
- Croatia193097%
- Ghana15033%
- Panama173784%
Match schedule (all 104)
2026-06-11 (Thu Jun 11)
- Mexico vs South AfricaEstadio Azteca86%/6%/8%
- South Korea vs Czech RepublicEstadio Akron30%/38%/31%
2026-06-12 (Fri Jun 12)
- Canada vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaBMO Field71%/14%/15%
- USA vs ParaguaySoFi Stadium29%/35%/36%
2026-06-13 (Sat Jun 13)
- Qatar vs SwitzerlandLevi's Stadium6%/5%/89%
- Brazil vs MoroccoMetLife Stadium56%/22%/22%
- Haiti vs ScotlandGillette Stadium17%/16%/67%
- Australia vs TürkiyeBC Place25%/26%/49%
2026-06-14 (Sun Jun 14)
- Germany vs CuraçaoNRG Stadium90%/4%/5%
- Netherlands vs JapanAT&T Stadium39%/33%/28%
- Ivory Coast vs EcuadorLincoln Financial Field16%/14%/70%
- Sweden vs TunisiaEstadio BBVA43%/30%/27%
2026-06-15 (Mon Jun 15)
- Spain vs Cape VerdeMercedes-Benz Stadium95%/2%/3%
- Belgium vs EgyptLumen Field57%/21%/22%
- Saudi Arabia vs UruguayHard Rock Stadium12%/10%/78%
- Iran vs New ZealandSoFi Stadium59%/21%/21%
2026-06-16 (Tue Jun 16)
- France vs SenegalMetLife Stadium62%/18%/19%
- Iraq vs NorwayGillette Stadium13%/12%/75%
- Argentina vs AlgeriaArrowhead Stadium82%/8%/10%
- Austria vs JordanLevi's Stadium52%/24%/24%
2026-06-17 (Wed Jun 17)
- Portugal vs Congo DRNRG Stadium78%/10%/12%
- England vs CroatiaAT&T Stadium44%/29%/26%
- Ghana vs PanamaBMO Field17%/16%/67%
- Uzbekistan vs ColombiaEstadio Azteca16%/15%/68%
2026-06-18 (Thu Jun 18)
- Czech Republic vs South AfricaMercedes-Benz Stadium63%/18%/19%
- Switzerland vs Bosnia and HerzegovinaSoFi Stadium75%/12%/13%
- Canada vs QatarBC Place87%/6%/7%
- Mexico vs South KoreaEstadio Akron64%/18%/19%
2026-06-19 (Fri Jun 19)
- USA vs AustraliaLumen Field32%/38%/30%
- Scotland vs MoroccoGillette Stadium28%/33%/39%
- Brazil vs HaitiLincoln Financial Field88%/5%/7%
- Türkiye vs ParaguayLevi's Stadium41%/31%/28%
2026-06-20 (Sat Jun 20)
- Netherlands vs SwedenNRG Stadium68%/16%/17%
- Germany vs Ivory CoastBMO Field68%/15%/16%
- Ecuador vs CuraçaoArrowhead Stadium91%/4%/5%
- Tunisia vs JapanEstadio BBVA15%/14%/71%
2026-06-21 (Sun Jun 21)
- Spain vs Saudi ArabiaMercedes-Benz Stadium95%/2%/3%
- Belgium vs IranSoFi Stadium47%/28%/26%
- Uruguay vs Cape VerdeHard Rock Stadium79%/10%/11%
- New Zealand vs EgyptBC Place25%/27%/48%
2026-06-22 (Mon Jun 22)
- Argentina vs AustriaAT&T Stadium73%/13%/14%
- France vs IraqLincoln Financial Field89%/5%/6%
- Norway vs SenegalMetLife Stadium36%/35%/29%
- Jordan vs AlgeriaLevi's Stadium28%/33%/39%
2026-06-23 (Tue Jun 23)
- Portugal vs UzbekistanNRG Stadium70%/14%/16%
- England vs GhanaGillette Stadium92%/4%/5%
- Panama vs CroatiaBMO Field20%/19%/61%
- Colombia vs Congo DREstadio Akron77%/11%/12%
2026-06-24 (Wed Jun 24)
- Switzerland vs CanadaBC Place35%/36%/29%
- Bosnia and Herzegovina vs QatarLumen Field57%/21%/22%
- Scotland vs BrazilHard Rock Stadium18%/17%/64%
- Morocco vs HaitiMercedes-Benz Stadium74%/12%/14%
- Czech Republic vs MexicoEstadio Azteca19%/18%/63%
- South Africa vs South KoreaEstadio BBVA19%/18%/62%
2026-06-25 (Thu Jun 25)
- Curaçao vs Ivory CoastLincoln Financial Field17%/16%/67%
- Ecuador vs GermanyMetLife Stadium32%/38%/30%
- Japan vs SwedenAT&T Stadium59%/20%/21%
- Tunisia vs NetherlandsArrowhead Stadium12%/10%/78%
- Türkiye vs USASoFi Stadium47%/27%/26%
- Paraguay vs AustraliaLevi's Stadium38%/33%/29%
2026-06-26 (Fri Jun 26)
- Norway vs FranceGillette Stadium22%/21%/57%
- Senegal vs IraqBMO Field71%/14%/15%
- Cape Verde vs Saudi ArabiaNRG Stadium30%/37%/33%
- Uruguay vs SpainEstadio Akron15%/13%/72%
- Egypt vs IranLumen Field28%/32%/40%
- New Zealand vs BelgiumBC Place14%/13%/73%
2026-06-27 (Sat Jun 27)
- Panama vs EnglandMetLife Stadium14%/13%/73%
- Croatia vs GhanaLincoln Financial Field86%/6%/7%
- Colombia vs PortugalHard Rock Stadium30%/38%/32%
- Congo DR vs UzbekistanMercedes-Benz Stadium27%/31%/42%
- Algeria vs AustriaArrowhead Stadium27%/30%/43%
- Jordan vs ArgentinaAT&T Stadium8%/6%/86%
2026-06-28 (Sun Jun 28)
- R32 #1: 2A vs 2BSoFi Stadium—
2026-06-29 (Mon Jun 29)
- R32 #2: 1C vs 2FNRG Stadium—
- R32 #3: 1E vs 3rd (A/B/C/D/F)Gillette Stadium—
- R32 #4: 1F vs 2CEstadio BBVA—
2026-06-30 (Tue Jun 30)
- R32 #5: 2E vs 2IAT&T Stadium—
- R32 #6: 1I vs 3rd (C/D/F/G/H)MetLife Stadium—
- R32 #7: 1A vs 3rd (C/E/F/H/I)Estadio Azteca—
2026-07-01 (Wed Jul 01)
- R32 #8: 1L vs 3rd (E/H/I/J/K)Mercedes-Benz Stadium—
- R32 #9: 1G vs 3rd (A/E/H/I/J)Lumen Field—
- R32 #10: 1D vs 3rd (B/E/F/I/J)Levi's Stadium—
2026-07-02 (Thu Jul 02)
- R32 #11: 1H vs 2JSoFi Stadium—
- R32 #12: 2K vs 2LBMO Field—
- R32 #13: 1B vs 3rd (E/F/G/I/J)BC Place—
2026-07-03 (Fri Jul 03)
- R32 #14: 2D vs 2GAT&T Stadium—
- R32 #15: 1J vs 2HHard Rock Stadium—
- R32 #16: 1K vs 3rd (D/E/I/J/L)Arrowhead Stadium—
2026-07-04 (Sat Jul 04)
- R16 #1NRG Stadium—
- R16 #2Lincoln Financial Field—
2026-07-05 (Sun Jul 05)
- R16 #3MetLife Stadium—
- R16 #4Estadio Azteca—
2026-07-06 (Mon Jul 06)
- R16 #5AT&T Stadium—
- R16 #6Lumen Field—
2026-07-07 (Tue Jul 07)
- R16 #7Mercedes-Benz Stadium—
- R16 #8BC Place—
2026-07-09 (Thu Jul 09)
- QF #1Gillette Stadium—
2026-07-10 (Fri Jul 10)
- QF #2SoFi Stadium—
2026-07-11 (Sat Jul 11)
- QF #3Hard Rock Stadium—
- QF #4Arrowhead Stadium—
2026-07-14 (Tue Jul 14)
- SF #1AT&T Stadium—
2026-07-15 (Wed Jul 15)
- SF #2Mercedes-Benz Stadium—
2026-07-18 (Sat Jul 18)
- 3rd PlaceHard Rock Stadium—
2026-07-19 (Sun Jul 19)
- FinalMetLife Stadium—
Probabilities are model output — not betting advice. 21+. If gambling is no longer fun, please reach out to 1-800-GAMBLER.