Boston Red Sox — Model Predictions & Analytics

Boston Red Sox power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs MLB engine.

Elo Rating

1482

Rank #20 of 30

Last 10 Picks

8-2

10 settled

Total Logged Picks

across all bet types

Upcoming Boston Red Sox games (next 5)

Date (ET)	Matchup	Spread	O/U	Venue
Sep 9, 6:45 PM ET	vs Los Angeles Angels	-1.5	9	Fenway Park

Trends & situational edges

scoring profile

Averages 4.47 runs scored, 3.88 allowed last season

78-65 record across 143 games in 2026

4.47 / 3.88

Updated Sep 9, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Boston Red Sox model results (last 10)

Date (ET)	Pick	Odds	Result	Units
Sep 5, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -134	-134	WIN	+1.12u
Aug 30, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -164	-164	WIN	+0.91u
Aug 25, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -129	-129	LOSS	-1.50u
Aug 24, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -140	-140	WIN	+1.43u
Aug 17, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -166	-166	WIN	+1.20u
Aug 9, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -166	-166	LOSS	-2.00u
Jul 18, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -120	-120	WIN	+1.25u
Jul 17, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at -118	-118	WIN	+1.27u
Jul 9, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at +114	114	WIN	+1.14u
Jun 4, 2026	Boston Red Sox ML at +120	120	WIN	+2.40u

Best Boston Red Sox wins

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Jun 4, 2026	Boston Red Sox @ New York Yankees	Boston Red Sox ML at +120	120	+2.40u
Aug 24, 2026	Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins	Boston Red Sox ML at -140	-140	+1.43u
Jul 17, 2026	Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox	Boston Red Sox ML at -118	-118	+1.27u

Worst Boston Red Sox losses

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Aug 9, 2026	Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays	Boston Red Sox ML at -166	-166	-2.00u
Aug 25, 2026	Boston Red Sox @ Miami Marlins	Boston Red Sox ML at -129	-129	-1.50u

How we model MLB

Our MLB engine blends an Elo-style power rating with starter-quality (xERA/xwOBA-against), bullpen rest state, park factors, ump effects and same-day weather to project win probability and total runs. Every projection is benchmarked against the live market — we only post a pick when our edge clears a strict threshold and the source data passes cross-checks.