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Cleveland Guardians — Model Predictions & Analytics

Cleveland Guardians power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs MLB engine.

Elo Rating
1503
Rank #12 of 30
Last 10 Picks
2-2
4 settled
Total Logged Picks
4
across all bet types

Upcoming Cleveland Guardians games (next 5)

Date (ET)MatchupSpreadO/UVenue
Jul 26, 12:15 PM ET@ Tampa Bay Rays-1.57Tropicana Field

Trends & situational edges

recent form
Won 17 of last 20 games
17-3 in most recent 20 games
17-3 L20
scoring profile
Averages 3.95 runs scored, 4.01 allowed last season
52-47 record across 99 games in 2026
3.95 / 4.01
Updated Jul 25, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Cleveland Guardians model results (last 10)

Date (ET)PickOddsResultUnits
May 29, 2026Cleveland Guardians ML at -133-133LOSS-1.50u
May 24, 2026Cleveland Guardians ML at -175-175LOSS-2.00u
May 16, 2026Cleveland Guardians ML at -161-161WIN+0.62u
Apr 20, 2026Cleveland Guardians ML at -142-142WIN+1.06u

Best Cleveland Guardians wins

DateGamePickOddsP/L
Apr 20, 2026Houston Astros @ Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians ML at -142-142+1.06u
May 16, 2026Cincinnati Reds @ Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians ML at -161-161+0.62u

Worst Cleveland Guardians losses

DateGamePickOddsP/L
May 24, 2026Washington Nationals @ Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians ML at -175-175-2.00u
May 29, 2026Boston Red Sox @ Cleveland GuardiansCleveland Guardians ML at -133-133-1.50u

How we model MLB

Our MLB engine blends an Elo-style power rating with starter-quality (xERA/xwOBA-against), bullpen rest state, park factors, ump effects and same-day weather to project win probability and total runs. Every projection is benchmarked against the live market — we only post a pick when our edge clears a strict threshold and the source data passes cross-checks.

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