Philadelphia Phillies — Model Predictions & Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs MLB engine.
Elo Rating
1450
Rank #27 of 30
Last 10 Picks
5-2
7 settled
Total Logged Picks
7
across all bet types
Upcoming Philadelphia Phillies games (next 5)
Date (ET)
Matchup
Spread
O/U
Venue
Sep 9, 6:40 PM ET
vs Houston Astros
-1.5
8
Citizens Bank Park
Trends & situational edges
scoring profile
Averages 4.49 runs scored, 4.24 allowed last season
80-62 record across 142 games in 2026
4.49 / 4.24
Updated Sep 8, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.
Recent Philadelphia Phillies model results (last 10)
Date (ET)
Pick
Odds
Result
Units
Aug 29, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -186
-186
WIN
+0.81u
Aug 23, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -116
-116
LOSS
-1.00u
Jun 27, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -149
-149
WIN
+1.34u
Jun 26, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at +113
113
LOSS
-1.00u
Jun 6, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -172
-172
WIN
+0.58u
May 17, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -125
-125
WIN
+0.80u
Apr 29, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -143
-143
WIN
+0.70u
Best Philadelphia Phillies wins
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Jun 27, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -149
-149
+1.34u
Aug 29, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies @ Los Angeles Angels
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -186
-186
+0.81u
May 17, 2026
Cincinnati Reds @ Philadelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -125
-125
+0.80u
Worst Philadelphia Phillies losses
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Jun 26, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
Philadelphia Phillies ML at +113
113
-1.00u
Aug 23, 2026
Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies ML at -116
-116
-1.00u
How we model MLB
Our MLB engine blends an Elo-style power rating with starter-quality (xERA/xwOBA-against), bullpen rest state, park factors, ump effects and same-day weather to project win probability and total runs. Every projection is benchmarked against the live market — we only post a pick when our edge clears a strict threshold and the source data passes cross-checks.