Purdue — Model Predictions & Analytics

Purdue power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.

SP+ Rating

-6.1

2025 season

Last 10 Picks

1-1

2 settled

Total Logged Picks

across all bet types

Upcoming Purdue games (next 5)

No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.

Trends & situational edges

primetime

Weak in primetime: 5-15 in last 5 seasons

Won only 25% of 20 primetime games

5-15 (25.0%)

day of week

Struggles on Sunday: 1-5 in last 5 seasons

Lost 83% of 6 Sunday games

1-5 (16.7%)

venue

Struggles at away: 1-12 the last 3 seasons

Won only 8% of 13 away games

1-12 (7.7%)

venue

Struggles at home: 5-13 the last 3 seasons

Won only 28% of 18 home games

5-13 (27.8%)

scoring profile

Averages 31.3 points scored, 32.3 allowed last season

3-4 record across 7 games in 2026

31.3 / 32.3

Updated Oct 24, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Purdue model results (last 10)

Date (ET)	Pick	Odds	Result	Units
Sep 25, 2026	Purdue +27.5	-102	LOSS	-2.00u
Sep 11, 2026	Purdue +3.5	-117	WIN	+0.85u

Best Purdue wins

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Sep 11, 2026	WAKE @ PUR	Purdue +3.5	-117	+0.85u

Worst Purdue losses

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Sep 25, 2026	ND @ PUR	Purdue +27.5	-102	-2.00u

How we model College Football

Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.