Michigan State power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.
SP+ Rating
-3.4
2025 season
Last 10 Picks
0-1
1 settled
Total Logged Picks
1
across all bet types
Upcoming Michigan State games (next 5)
No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.
Trends & situational edges
venue
Struggles at away: 1-11 the last 3 seasons
Won only 8% of 12 away games
1-11 (8.3%)
scoring profile
Averages 21.3 points scored, 25.4 allowed last season
2-5 record across 7 games in 2026
21.3 / 25.4
Updated Oct 24, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.
Recent Michigan State model results (last 10)
Date (ET)
Pick
Odds
Result
Units
Oct 9, 2026
Michigan State ML
120
LOSS
-1.00u
Worst Michigan State losses
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Oct 9, 2026
ILL @ MSU
Michigan State ML
120
-1.00u
How we model College Football
Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.