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Texas — Model Predictions & Analytics

Texas power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.

SP+ Rating
24.1
2024 season
Last 10 Picks
no settled picks yet
Total Logged Picks
0
across all bet types

Upcoming Texas games (next 5)

No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.

Trends & situational edges

primetime
Strong in primetime: 17-6 in last 5 seasons
Won 74% of 23 primetime games
17-6 (73.9%)
venue
Strong at home: 18-1 the last 3 seasons
Won 95% of 19 home games
18-1 (94.7%)
day of week
Dominant on Sunday: 9-3 in last 5 seasons
Won 75% of 12 Sunday games since 2021-09-19
9-3 (75.0%)
venue
Strong at away: 11-3 the last 3 seasons
Won 79% of 14 away games
11-3 (78.6%)
scoring profile
Averages 29.6 points scored, 19.8 allowed last season
9-3 record across 12 games in 2025
29.6 / 19.8
blowout
Wins by 14+ in 62% of wins the last 3 seasons
20 blowout wins out of 32 total wins
20/32 wins by 14+
Updated Jul 25, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Texas model results (last 10)

No settled picks for Texas yet — pages refresh as our model logs predictions.

How we model College Football

Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.

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