Mississippi State power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.
SP+ Rating
4.1
2025 season
Last 10 Picks
1-1
2 settled
Total Logged Picks
2
across all bet types
Upcoming Mississippi State games (next 5)
No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.
Trends & situational edges
day of week
Struggles on Sunday: 1-6 in last 5 seasons
Lost 86% of 7 Sunday games
1-6 (14.3%)
scoring profile
Averages 32.5 points scored, 28.5 allowed last season
4-2 record across 6 games in 2026
32.5 / 28.5
blowout
Wins by 14+ in 64% of wins the last 3 seasons
7 blowout wins out of 11 total wins
7/11 wins by 14+
Updated Oct 23, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.
Recent Mississippi State model results (last 10)
Date (ET)
Pick
Odds
Result
Units
Oct 2, 2026
Mississippi State +5.5
-102
LOSS
-1.00u
Sep 25, 2026
Mississippi State -2.5
-145
WIN
+0.69u
Best Mississippi State wins
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Sep 25, 2026
MIZ @ MSST
Mississippi State -2.5
-145
+0.69u
Worst Mississippi State losses
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Oct 2, 2026
ALA @ MSST
Mississippi State +5.5
-102
-1.00u
How we model College Football
Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.