Tennessee power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.
SP+ Rating
15.0
2025 season
Last 10 Picks
3-1
4 settled
Total Logged Picks
4
across all bet types
Upcoming Tennessee games (next 5)
No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.
Trends & situational edges
day of week
Dominant on Saturday: 38-11 in last 5 seasons
Won 78% of 49 Saturday games since 2022-09-10
38-11 (77.6%)
primetime
Strong in primetime: 16-6 in last 5 seasons
Won 73% of 22 primetime games
16-6 (72.7%)
venue
Strong at home: 15-4 the last 3 seasons
Won 79% of 19 home games
15-4 (78.9%)
scoring profile
Averages 33.4 points scored, 14.7 allowed last season
6-1 record across 7 games in 2026
33.4 / 14.7
blowout
Wins by 14+ in 62% of wins the last 3 seasons
15 blowout wins out of 24 total wins
15/24 wins by 14+
Updated Oct 23, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.
Recent Tennessee model results (last 10)
Date (ET)
Pick
Odds
Result
Units
Oct 16, 2026
Tennessee +8
-106
WIN
+0.94u
Oct 2, 2026
Tennessee -6.5
-105
WIN
+0.95u
Sep 25, 2026
Tennessee +5.5
-105
WIN
+0.95u
Sep 25, 2026
Tennessee ML
176
LOSS
-1.00u
Best Tennessee wins
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Sep 25, 2026
TEX @ TENN
Tennessee +5.5
-105
+0.95u
Oct 2, 2026
AUB @ TENN
Tennessee -6.5
-105
+0.95u
Oct 16, 2026
ALA @ TENN
Tennessee +8
-106
+0.94u
Worst Tennessee losses
Date
Game
Pick
Odds
P/L
Sep 25, 2026
TEX @ TENN
Tennessee ML
176
-1.00u
How we model College Football
Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.