Penn State — Model Predictions & Analytics

Penn State power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.

SP+ Rating

18.1

2025 season

Last 10 Picks

1-3

4 settled

Total Logged Picks

across all bet types

Upcoming Penn State games (next 5)

No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.

Trends & situational edges

scoring profile

Averages 28.7 points scored, 18.9 allowed last season

3-4 record across 7 games in 2026

28.7 / 18.9

blowout

Wins by 14+ in 80% of wins the last 3 seasons

16 blowout wins out of 20 total wins

16/20 wins by 14+

Updated Oct 23, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Penn State model results (last 10)

Date (ET)	Pick	Odds	Result	Units
Oct 16, 2026	Penn State +7	-110	WIN	+0.91u
Oct 9, 2026	Penn State -1	100	LOSS	-1.00u
Oct 9, 2026	Penn State ML	-105	LOSS	-1.00u
Sep 11, 2026	Penn State -23.5	-118	LOSS	-1.00u

Best Penn State wins

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Oct 16, 2026	PSU @ MICH	Penn State +7	-110	+0.91u

Worst Penn State losses

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Sep 11, 2026	PSU @ TEM	Penn State -23.5	-118	-1.00u
Oct 9, 2026	USC @ PSU	Penn State -1	100	-1.00u
Oct 9, 2026	USC @ PSU	Penn State ML	-105	-1.00u

How we model College Football

Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.