Notre Dame — Model Predictions & Analytics

Notre Dame power rating, recent prediction performance and upcoming-game projections from the Signal Labs College Football engine.

SP+ Rating

24.4

2025 season

Last 10 Picks

1-1

2 settled

Total Logged Picks

across all bet types

Upcoming Notre Dame games (next 5)

No upcoming College Football games on the schedule feed yet. Check back closer to the season opener.

Trends & situational edges

day of week

Dominant on Saturday: 38-9 in last 5 seasons

Won 81% of 47 Saturday games since 2022-09-03

38-9 (80.9%)

day of week

Dominant on Sunday: 6-2 in last 5 seasons

Won 75% of 8 Sunday games since 2022-11-27

6-2 (75.0%)

venue

Strong at home: 14-2 the last 3 seasons

Won 88% of 16 home games

14-2 (87.5%)

venue

Strong at away: 9-2 the last 3 seasons

Won 82% of 11 away games

9-2 (81.8%)

scoring profile

Averages 41.1 points scored, 13.4 allowed last season

6-1 record across 7 games in 2026

41.1 / 13.4

blowout

Wins by 14+ in 85% of wins the last 3 seasons

23 blowout wins out of 27 total wins

23/27 wins by 14+

Updated Oct 23, 2026 ET. Rolling 3-5 season window.

Recent Notre Dame model results (last 10)

Date (ET)	Pick	Odds	Result	Units
Oct 9, 2026	Notre Dame -38.5	100	WIN	+1.00u
Oct 2, 2026	Notre Dame -21	-110	LOSS	-1.00u

Best Notre Dame wins

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Oct 9, 2026	STAN @ ND	Notre Dame -38.5	100	+1.00u

Worst Notre Dame losses

Date	Game	Pick	Odds	P/L
Oct 2, 2026	ND @ UNC	Notre Dame -21	-110	-1.00u

How we model College Football

Our college football model combines an opponent-adjusted SP+-style rating with pace, success rate and explosiveness splits, weather effects on totals, and starter-availability weighting. We separate full-season and Week-5+ "mature" views because early-season noise is a known killer of CFB models.