NHL model. Elo, goalies, fatigue.
Opponent-adjusted Elo, goal differential, goalie save-percentage-above-expected, back-to-back fatigue, and market edge. Every published pick settles on the public ledger — nothing hidden.
No games today — NHL is in the off-season
The 2026–27 NHL season drops in October. When the puck drops, this page fills with the full slate — matchup cards, Elo-based model reads, goalie edges, and daily picks. The model is already trained and shadow-testing on last season's data.
Get notified when NHL goes live →During the season, each night's results are graded the next morning and posted to the public ledger — wins, losses, and units, win or lose. There's no cherry-picking. Off-season, the model keeps re-fitting Elo and goalie priors so it's sharp on opening night.
Every pick is tagged by confidence so you always know what you're looking at.
| Window | Record | Win % | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| All sports · since Apr 15, 2026 | 233–180 | 56.4% | +44.23u |
NHL-specific settled results appear here once the season starts. See every pick settled publicly →