Signal Labs · NFL

NFL Model. Live Now. LIVE

Team ratings in points — offence, defence and home-field advantage fit to every nflverse result and weighted toward recent games — plus a starting-QB adjustment. Spreads, totals and moneylines, posted before kickoff and graded in the public ledger.

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Multi-Season
Seasons of data
Backtested
Walk-forward
Live Now
Posted before lock
$0
Free right now

TODAY'S NFL SIGNALS

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Football Methodology

Data Sources

  • nflverse game results — every final score, home and away
  • Ridge-regularised team ratings: offence and defence in points
  • Recency weighting per game, so current form outweighs early season
  • Home-field advantage fit from results, not assumed
  • Starting-QB adjustment, applied where the starter is confirmed

What The Model Looks At

  • Where our projected margin sits against the posted spread
  • Where our projected total sits against the posted total
  • Whether the confirmed starting QB moves the number
  • How far recent results have moved a team rating

Daily NFL picks. Posted before lock.

Spreads, moneylines, totals. Free right now.

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