Signal Labs · NFL

NFL Model. Live This Fall. LAUNCH · WEEK 1 IN SEPTEMBER 2026

EPA/play, Adjusted Value Score, line-of-scrimmage win rate, environment-adjusted totals — built on top of nflverse and our own injury weighting.

Get Notified at Launch → How We Build It →
Multi-Season
Seasons of data
Backtested
Walk-forward
Sept 2026
Goes live
$0
Free right now

Football Methodology

Data Sources

  • nflverse play-by-play (EPA/play, success rate)
  • Line-of-scrimmage win-rate grades
  • Injury weighting per position (QB > OL > skill)
  • Weather + roof + altitude
  • Vegas opening line drift

Where The Edge Comes From

  • QB injury status vs market lag
  • Weather + total interactions
  • Line-of-scrimmage mismatch (DL vs OL win-rate diff)
  • Home-field-effect adjustments by venue

NFL model goes live Week 1 in September 2026.

Free right now — get notified the moment it launches.

Get Notified at Launch →
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