Signal Labs · NBA

NBA Model. Live This October. LAUNCH · OPENING NIGHT OCTOBER 2026

Pace-adjusted ratings, four-factor decomposition, rest/travel/B2B context, and a 60/40 model-vs-market blend — backtested across the last three seasons.

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3 Seasons
Seasons of data
Backtested
Walk-forward
Oct 2026
Goes live
$0
Free right now

Basketball Methodology

Data Sources

  • Team net-rating by lineup (5-man on/off)
  • Pace-adjusted possessions + rest
  • Four-factor decomposition (eFG, TOV, ORB, FTr)
  • Back-to-back + travel-distance flags
  • Injury / load-management surveillance

Where The Edge Comes From

  • Rest/B2B disadvantage often underpriced
  • Pace mismatch on totals (slow vs fast)
  • Late-arrival / travel adjustments
  • Continuity vs roster-turnover gap in October

NBA model goes live Opening Night October 2026.

Free right now — get notified the moment it launches.

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