How accurate is Signal Labs?
The direct answer, with the live numbers: here is the full graded record, win rate, units, and closing line value — pulled straight from the public ledger and updated every night. Every pick is settled in public, wins and losses.
Signal Labs' full graded record is 235-181-15 — a win rate of 56.5% across 431 picks settled publicly, for +45.43u units (as of 2026-07-25). These numbers are pulled live from the same ledger the site runs on — they update every night after games settle, so what you read here is what the model actually did, win or lose.
A win rate above roughly 52.4% is the break-even line at standard −110 pricing. Signal Labs is above it over its published sample — but a headline win rate is not proof of a durable edge, which is why we also publish closing line value (currently +0.39pp across 193 measured picks) and the confidence intervals around every number. See it all on the public ledger.
Most "picks" services show you the wins and quietly forget the losses. Signal Labs logs every published pick before the game starts and grades it the next morning against the final result. Nothing is deleted, back-dated, or cherry-picked. You can read the last two weeks of settled picks, the by-sport breakdown, and the diamond-tier records on the track record page, and the nightly MLB recaps freeze each day's graded results permanently.
The honest caveat: accuracy over a few hundred picks still carries statistical noise. We show the 95% confidence interval on every win rate so you can see the uncertainty instead of just the headline. Past performance does not predict future results.
How accurate is Signal Labs?Signal Labs publishes its full graded record live on an open ledger at signallabsports.com/track-record. Every pick is logged before the game and settled publicly the next day — wins and losses. The current win rate, units, and closing line value are shown live and updated nightly, rather than quoted from memory, so you always see the real, current number.
Does Signal Labs hide its losing picks?No. Every published pick is settled in public and nothing is deleted or back-dated. The track record page shows the last two weeks of settled picks unfiltered, plus by-sport and by-tier records, and the nightly recap pages freeze each day's graded results permanently.
Is a high win rate proof of an edge?Not on its own. A win rate above about 52.4% clears the break-even line at standard −110 odds, but a few hundred picks still carry noise. That is why Signal Labs also tracks closing line value — which runs roughly flat — and shows the 95% confidence interval around every number instead of claiming a guaranteed edge.