Golf. Strokes Gained, course-fit.
200+ PGA Tour players tracked across every Strokes Gained category, weighted per event by course design. The Golf model runs in advisory mode — reads and course-fit, not counted in the win-loss ledger.
Golf runs in advisory mode
We don't fire graded golf picks the way we do MLB. Instead the model publishes course-fit reads, outright value, and matchup leans in the app and Discord — where live leaderboards and per-event weights update through the weekend. It's honest about what golf is: high-variance, edge-in-the-process.
See this week's reads in Discord →Every player carries a full Strokes Gained history. Each tournament gets custom weights based on what the venue actually rewards — a tight, second-shot course like Harbour Town leans on Approach and Around-the-Green; a bomber's track leans Off-the-Tee. That's the course-fit grade.
| Strokes Gained category | Coverage | Weight varies by |
|---|---|---|
| SG: Off the Tee | Full History | Driving-course fit |
| SG: Approach | Full History | Green size / iron demand |
| SG: Around the Green | Full History | Rough / short-game demand |
| SG: Putting | Full History | Green complex / speed |
| Course-fit grade | Every Event | Composite, A–F |
A single golf tournament is a 156-player, four-round variance machine — even a genuine edge cashes slowly. Rather than pad a win-loss record with high-variance outrights, we keep golf as advisory: course-fit, matchup leans, and outright value you can act on, tracked in the app but not counted in the graded ledger. The graded ledger stays clean for the sports where the model fires daily.