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Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints — 2026-10-11

1:00 PM ETCaesars SuperdomeNFLFINAL
Recap

Minnesota Vikings beat New Orleans Saints 23-13, a 10-points margin. We projected Minnesota Vikings 22.5-22.5 New Orleans Saints and gave New Orleans Saints a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Vikings
41%
New Orleans Saints
59%
Projected
Vikings 22.5 - 22.5 Saints

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates New Orleans Saints as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Vikings would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Vikings
No recent games on file.
New Orleans Saints
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Vikings 41% / New Orleans Saints 59%. Projected Minnesota Vikings 22.5 — 22.5 New Orleans Saints.

Our NFL model rates New Orleans Saints as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Vikings would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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