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Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens — 2026-10-04

1:00 PM ETM&T Bank StadiumNFLFINAL
Recap

Baltimore Ravens beat Tennessee Titans 24-18, a 6-points margin. We projected Tennessee Titans 22.5-22.5 Baltimore Ravens and gave Baltimore Ravens a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Tennessee Titans
41%
Baltimore Ravens
59%
Projected
Titans 22.5 - 22.5 Ravens

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates Baltimore Ravens as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tennessee Titans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Tennessee Titans
No recent games on file.
Baltimore Ravens
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Tennessee Titans 41% / Baltimore Ravens 59%. Projected Tennessee Titans 22.5 — 22.5 Baltimore Ravens.

Our NFL model rates Baltimore Ravens as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Tennessee Titans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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