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Los Angeles Rams vs Philadelphia Eagles — 2026-10-04

1:00 PM ETLincoln Financial FieldNFLFINAL
Recap

Los Angeles Rams beat Philadelphia Eagles 24-20, a 4-points margin. We projected Los Angeles Rams 22.5-22.5 Philadelphia Eagles and gave Philadelphia Eagles a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Rams
41%
Philadelphia Eagles
59%
Projected
Rams 22.5 - 22.5 Eagles

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates Philadelphia Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Rams would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Rams
No recent games on file.
Philadelphia Eagles
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Rams 41% / Philadelphia Eagles 59%. Projected Los Angeles Rams 22.5 — 22.5 Philadelphia Eagles.

Our NFL model rates Philadelphia Eagles as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Rams would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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