New England Patriots beat Las Vegas Raiders 45-17, a 28-points margin. We projected Las Vegas Raiders 22.5-22.5 New England Patriots and gave New England Patriots a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NFL model rates New England Patriots as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Las Vegas Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Las Vegas Raiders 41% / New England Patriots 59%. Projected Las Vegas Raiders 22.5 — 22.5 New England Patriots.
Our NFL model rates New England Patriots as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Las Vegas Raiders would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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