Green Bay Packers beat Tampa Bay Buccaneers 17-14, a 3-points margin. We projected Green Bay Packers 22.5-22.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers and gave Tampa Bay Buccaneers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NFL model rates Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Green Bay Packers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Green Bay Packers 41% / Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59%. Projected Green Bay Packers 22.5 — 22.5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Our NFL model rates Tampa Bay Buccaneers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Green Bay Packers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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