Chicago Bears beat New York Jets 23-12, a 11-points margin. We projected New York Jets 22.5-22.5 Chicago Bears and gave Chicago Bears a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NFL model rates Chicago Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New York Jets 41% / Chicago Bears 59%. Projected New York Jets 22.5 — 22.5 Chicago Bears.
Our NFL model rates Chicago Bears as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Jets would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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