Jacksonville Jaguars beat Cincinnati Bengals 22-17, a 5-points margin. We projected Jacksonville Jaguars 22.5-22.5 Cincinnati Bengals and gave Cincinnati Bengals a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NFL model rates Cincinnati Bengals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Jacksonville Jaguars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Jacksonville Jaguars 41% / Cincinnati Bengals 59%. Projected Jacksonville Jaguars 22.5 — 22.5 Cincinnati Bengals.
Our NFL model rates Cincinnati Bengals as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Jacksonville Jaguars would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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