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New York Giants vs Washington Commanders — 2026-10-11

1:00 PM ETNorthwest StadiumNFLFINAL
Recap

New York Giants and Washington Commanders finished level at 27-27. We projected New York Giants 22.5-22.5 Washington Commanders and gave Washington Commanders a 59% win probability pre-game.

Model prediction (pre-game)

New York Giants
41%
Washington Commanders
59%
Projected
Giants 22.5 - 22.5 Commanders

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates Washington Commanders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

New York Giants
No recent games on file.
Washington Commanders
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: New York Giants 41% / Washington Commanders 59%. Projected New York Giants 22.5 — 22.5 Washington Commanders.

Our NFL model rates Washington Commanders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Giants would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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