Indianapolis Colts beat Washington Commanders 30-13, a 17-points margin. We projected Indianapolis Colts 22.5-22.5 Washington Commanders and gave Washington Commanders a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NFL model rates Washington Commanders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indianapolis Colts would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Indianapolis Colts 41% / Washington Commanders 59%. Projected Indianapolis Colts 22.5 — 22.5 Washington Commanders.
Our NFL model rates Washington Commanders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indianapolis Colts would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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