Kansas City Chiefs beat Las Vegas Raiders 30-27, a 3-points margin. We projected Kansas City Chiefs 22.5-22.5 Las Vegas Raiders and gave Las Vegas Raiders a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NFL model rates Las Vegas Raiders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Chiefs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Kansas City Chiefs 41% / Las Vegas Raiders 59%. Projected Kansas City Chiefs 22.5 — 22.5 Las Vegas Raiders.
Our NFL model rates Las Vegas Raiders as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Kansas City Chiefs would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Signal Labs · model-driven betting analytics. Information shown is for analysis and entertainment only. Must be 21+ to wager where legal. Responsible gambling resources.