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Los Angeles Chargers vs Seattle Seahawks — 2026-10-04

4:25 PM ETLumen FieldNFLFINAL
Recap

Seattle Seahawks beat Los Angeles Chargers 30-23, a 7-points margin. We projected Los Angeles Chargers 22.5-22.5 Seattle Seahawks and gave Seattle Seahawks a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Los Angeles Chargers
41%
Seattle Seahawks
59%
Projected
Chargers 22.5 - 22.5 Seahawks

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates Seattle Seahawks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Chargers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Los Angeles Chargers
No recent games on file.
Seattle Seahawks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Los Angeles Chargers 41% / Seattle Seahawks 59%. Projected Los Angeles Chargers 22.5 — 22.5 Seattle Seahawks.

Our NFL model rates Seattle Seahawks as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Los Angeles Chargers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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