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Arizona Cardinals vs New York Giants — 2026-10-04

1:00 PM ETMetLife StadiumNFLFINAL
Recap

New York Giants beat Arizona Cardinals 36-24, a 12-points margin. We projected Arizona Cardinals 22.5-22.5 New York Giants and gave New York Giants a 59% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Arizona Cardinals
41%
New York Giants
59%
Projected
Cardinals 22.5 - 22.5 Giants

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates New York Giants as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Arizona Cardinals
No recent games on file.
New York Giants
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Arizona Cardinals 41% / New York Giants 59%. Projected Arizona Cardinals 22.5 — 22.5 New York Giants.

Our NFL model rates New York Giants as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Arizona Cardinals would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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