Denver Broncos beat Los Angeles Chargers 23-17, a 6-points margin. We projected Denver Broncos 22.5-22.5 Los Angeles Chargers and gave Los Angeles Chargers a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NFL model rates Los Angeles Chargers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Denver Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Denver Broncos 41% / Los Angeles Chargers 59%. Projected Denver Broncos 22.5 — 22.5 Los Angeles Chargers.
Our NFL model rates Los Angeles Chargers as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Denver Broncos would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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