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Buffalo Bills vs Houston Texans — 2026-09-13

1:00 PM ETReliant StadiumNFL

Model prediction

Buffalo Bills
41%
Houston Texans
59%
Projected
Bills 22.5 - 22.5 Texans

What our model sees

Our NFL model rates Houston Texans as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 0-point Elo gap (1500 vs 1500) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Buffalo Bills would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Buffalo Bills
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Houston Texans
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