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Washington Wizards vs New York Knicks — 2026-10-08

7:30 PM ETMadison Square GardenNBAFINAL
Recap

Washington Wizards beat New York Knicks 111-109, a 2-points margin. We projected Washington Wizards 96.8-129.2 New York Knicks and gave New York Knicks a 97% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Washington Wizards
3%
New York Knicks
97%
Projected
Wizards 96.8 - 129.2 Knicks

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates New York Knicks as the more likely winner at 97%. The driver is a 540-point Elo gap (1680 vs 1140) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Wizards would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Washington Wizards
No recent games on file.
New York Knicks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Washington Wizards 3% / New York Knicks 97%. Projected Washington Wizards 96.8 — 129.2 New York Knicks.

Our NBA model rates New York Knicks as the more likely winner at 97%. The driver is a 540-point Elo gap (1680 vs 1140) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Wizards would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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