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Golden State Warriors vs LA Clippers — 2026-10-04

7:00 PM ETStan Sheriff CenterNBAFINAL
Recap

LA Clippers beat Golden State Warriors 104-101, a 3-points margin. We projected Golden State Warriors 110.8-115.2 LA Clippers and gave LA Clippers a 69% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Golden State Warriors
31%
LA Clippers
69%
Projected
Warriors 110.8 - 115.2 Clippers

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates LA Clippers as the more likely winner at 69%. The driver is a 75-point Elo gap (1515 vs 1440) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Golden State Warriors would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Golden State Warriors
No recent games on file.
LA Clippers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Golden State Warriors 31% / LA Clippers 69%. Projected Golden State Warriors 110.8 — 115.2 LA Clippers.

Our NBA model rates LA Clippers as the more likely winner at 69%. The driver is a 75-point Elo gap (1515 vs 1440) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Golden State Warriors would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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