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Minnesota Timberwolves vs Indiana Pacers — 2026-10-07

7:00 PM ETHilton ColiseumNBAFINAL
Recap

Indiana Pacers beat Minnesota Timberwolves 123-112, a 11-points margin. We projected Minnesota Timberwolves 126.5-99.5 Indiana Pacers and gave Minnesota Timberwolves a 90% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Timberwolves
90%
Indiana Pacers
10%
Projected
Timberwolves 126.5 - 99.5 Pacers

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Minnesota Timberwolves as the more likely winner at 90%. The driver is a 450-point Elo gap (1620 vs 1170) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indiana Pacers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Timberwolves
No recent games on file.
Indiana Pacers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Timberwolves 90% / Indiana Pacers 10%. Projected Minnesota Timberwolves 126.5 — 99.5 Indiana Pacers.

Our NBA model rates Minnesota Timberwolves as the more likely winner at 90%. The driver is a 450-point Elo gap (1620 vs 1170) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indiana Pacers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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