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Phoenix Suns vs Detroit Pistons — 2026-10-05

7:00 PM ETLittle Caesars ArenaNBAFINAL
Recap

Detroit Pistons beat Phoenix Suns 109-107, a 2-points margin. We projected Phoenix Suns 106.2-119.8 Detroit Pistons and gave Detroit Pistons a 84% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Phoenix Suns
16%
Detroit Pistons
84%
Projected
Suns 106.2 - 119.8 Pistons

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Detroit Pistons as the more likely winner at 84%. The driver is a 225-point Elo gap (1785 vs 1560) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Phoenix Suns would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Phoenix Suns
No recent games on file.
Detroit Pistons
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Phoenix Suns 16% / Detroit Pistons 84%. Projected Phoenix Suns 106.2 — 119.8 Detroit Pistons.

Our NBA model rates Detroit Pistons as the more likely winner at 84%. The driver is a 225-point Elo gap (1785 vs 1560) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Phoenix Suns would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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