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San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks — 2026-06-11

8:30 PM ETMadison Square GardenNBAFINAL
Recap

New York Knicks beat San Antonio Spurs 107-106, a 1-point margin. We projected San Antonio Spurs 117.0-109.0 New York Knicks and gave San Antonio Spurs a 61% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

San Antonio Spurs
61%
New York Knicks
39%
Projected
Spurs 117.0 - 109.0 Knicks

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates San Antonio Spurs as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 135-point Elo gap (1815 vs 1680) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Knicks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

San Antonio Spurs
No recent games on file.
New York Knicks
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: San Antonio Spurs 61% / New York Knicks 39%. Projected San Antonio Spurs 117 — 109 New York Knicks.

Our NBA model rates San Antonio Spurs as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 135-point Elo gap (1815 vs 1680) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New York Knicks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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