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Detroit Pistons vs Washington Wizards — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETCapital One ArenaNBAFINAL
Recap

Washington Wizards beat Detroit Pistons 114-108, a 6-points margin. We projected Detroit Pistons 132.3-93.7 Washington Wizards and gave Detroit Pistons a 97% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Pistons
97%
Washington Wizards
3%
Projected
Pistons 132.3 - 93.7 Wizards

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Detroit Pistons as the more likely winner at 97%. The driver is a 645-point Elo gap (1785 vs 1140) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Wizards would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Pistons
No recent games on file.
Washington Wizards
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Pistons 97% / Washington Wizards 3%. Projected Detroit Pistons 132.3 — 93.7 Washington Wizards.

Our NBA model rates Detroit Pistons as the more likely winner at 97%. The driver is a 645-point Elo gap (1785 vs 1140) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Washington Wizards would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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