Miami Heat beat New Orleans Pelicans 128-118, a 10-points margin. We projected New Orleans Pelicans 105.3-120.7 Miami Heat and gave Miami Heat a 86% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NBA model rates Miami Heat as the more likely winner at 86%. The driver is a 255-point Elo gap (1530 vs 1275) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Orleans Pelicans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: New Orleans Pelicans 14% / Miami Heat 86%. Projected New Orleans Pelicans 105.3 — 120.7 Miami Heat.
Our NBA model rates Miami Heat as the more likely winner at 86%. The driver is a 255-point Elo gap (1530 vs 1275) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. New Orleans Pelicans would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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