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Orlando Magic vs Cleveland Cavaliers — 2026-10-11

6:30 PM ETRocket ArenaNBAFINAL
Recap

Cleveland Cavaliers beat Orlando Magic 119-105, a 14-points margin. We projected Orlando Magic 109.8-116.2 Cleveland Cavaliers and gave Cleveland Cavaliers a 72% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Orlando Magic
28%
Cleveland Cavaliers
72%
Projected
Magic 109.8 - 116.2 Cavaliers

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Cleveland Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 72%. The driver is a 105-point Elo gap (1665 vs 1560) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Orlando Magic would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Orlando Magic
No recent games on file.
Cleveland Cavaliers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Orlando Magic 28% / Cleveland Cavaliers 72%. Projected Orlando Magic 109.8 — 116.2 Cleveland Cavaliers.

Our NBA model rates Cleveland Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 72%. The driver is a 105-point Elo gap (1665 vs 1560) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Orlando Magic would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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