Miami Heat beat Toronto Raptors 129-105, a 24-points margin. We projected Miami Heat 111.7-114.3 Toronto Raptors and gave Toronto Raptors a 65% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.
Our NBA model rates Toronto Raptors as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1575 vs 1530) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Heat would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Miami Heat 35% / Toronto Raptors 65%. Projected Miami Heat 111.7 — 114.3 Toronto Raptors.
Our NBA model rates Toronto Raptors as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 45-point Elo gap (1575 vs 1530) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Heat would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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