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Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic — 2026-10-16

7:00 PM ETKia CenterNBA

Model prediction

Miami Heat
37%
Orlando Magic
63%
Projected
Heat 112.1 - 113.9 Magic

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Orlando Magic as the more likely winner at 63%. The driver is a 30-point Elo gap (1560 vs 1530) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Miami Heat would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Miami Heat
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Orlando Magic
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