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Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETGainbridge FieldhouseNBAFINAL
Recap

Atlanta Hawks beat Indiana Pacers 119-117, a 2-points margin. We projected Atlanta Hawks 125.2-100.8 Indiana Pacers and gave Atlanta Hawks a 88% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Atlanta Hawks
88%
Indiana Pacers
12%
Projected
Hawks 125.2 - 100.8 Pacers

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Atlanta Hawks as the more likely winner at 88%. The driver is a 405-point Elo gap (1575 vs 1170) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indiana Pacers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Atlanta Hawks
No recent games on file.
Indiana Pacers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Atlanta Hawks 88% / Indiana Pacers 12%. Projected Atlanta Hawks 125.2 — 100.8 Indiana Pacers.

Our NBA model rates Atlanta Hawks as the more likely winner at 88%. The driver is a 405-point Elo gap (1575 vs 1170) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Indiana Pacers would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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