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Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers — 2026-10-08

7:00 PM ETRocket ArenaNBAFINAL
Recap

Boston Celtics beat Cleveland Cavaliers 124-113, a 11-points margin. We projected Boston Celtics 114.8-111.2 Cleveland Cavaliers and gave Cleveland Cavaliers a 50% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Boston Celtics
50%
Cleveland Cavaliers
50%
Projected
Celtics 114.8 - 111.2 Cavaliers

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Cleveland Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -60-point Elo gap (1665 vs 1725) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Celtics would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Boston Celtics
No recent games on file.
Cleveland Cavaliers
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Boston Celtics 50% / Cleveland Cavaliers 50%. Projected Boston Celtics 114.8 — 111.2 Cleveland Cavaliers.

Our NBA model rates Cleveland Cavaliers as the more likely winner at 50%. The driver is a -60-point Elo gap (1665 vs 1725) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Boston Celtics would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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