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Milwaukee Bucks vs Charlotte Hornets — 2026-10-11

7:00 PM ETSpectrum CenterNBAFINAL
Recap

Charlotte Hornets beat Milwaukee Bucks 105-90, a 15-points margin. We projected Milwaukee Bucks 107.6-118.4 Charlotte Hornets and gave Charlotte Hornets a 80% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Milwaukee Bucks
20%
Charlotte Hornets
80%
Projected
Bucks 107.6 - 118.4 Hornets

What our model sees

Our NBA model rates Charlotte Hornets as the more likely winner at 80%. The driver is a 180-point Elo gap (1545 vs 1365) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Bucks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Milwaukee Bucks
No recent games on file.
Charlotte Hornets
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Milwaukee Bucks 20% / Charlotte Hornets 80%. Projected Milwaukee Bucks 107.6 — 118.4 Charlotte Hornets.

Our NBA model rates Charlotte Hornets as the more likely winner at 80%. The driver is a 180-point Elo gap (1545 vs 1365) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Milwaukee Bucks would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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