Closing-line value (CLV) is the cleanest signal of whether a model beats the market over time — it can’t be faked by a hot streak. We measure it on every signal (no-vig open vs no-vig close), publish wins and losses, and show the confidence intervals so you see the uncertainty, not just the headline. Updated nightly.
Sample floor is 20 settled picks per bucket — anything below is flagged so you can decide for yourself.
| Sport | Record | Win % | ROI | CLV (pp) | Picks |
|---|
Disclaimer: For entertainment only. 21+. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call 1-800-GAMBLER. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Higher diamond counts target our highest-conviction picks. Tiers below 20 settled picks shown as insufficient.
| Tier | Record | Win % | ROI | CLV (pp) | Picks |
|---|
Disclaimer: For entertainment only. 21+. Diamond counts are confidence labels, not guarantees. 1-800-GAMBLER.
Every settled pick from the last two weeks. Nothing filtered.
| Date | Sport | Bet | Odds | CLV |
|---|
Disclaimer: For entertainment only. 21+. RG resources at 1-800-GAMBLER. This is not investment advice.
A win rate means little without sample size. These bars show the 95% confidence interval (Wilson) around each lifetime win rate — the range the true number plausibly sits in. The amber line is breakeven (52.4% at −110). We publish the uncertainty on purpose.
Honest read: where a confidence interval still crosses the breakeven line, we have not yet proven a durable edge in that bucket — the sample is too small to be sure. We show that rather than hide it. CLV is our forward-looking signal; the record is the scoreboard. Neither guarantees future results.