Live tournament
ATP R32
WTA R32
2026-05-24 to 2026-06-07
Roland Garros 2026 — model state, contenders, previews
Live mid-tournament view from Signal Labs · Updated 2026-05-30T13:06 UTC
Match previews
Title contenders — model read
Men's title contenders — clay-Elo implied % # Player Implied % 1 Alexander Zverev 34% 2 Casper Ruud 28.6% 3 Andrey Rublev 8.4% 4 Francisco Cerúndolo 6.2% 5 Flavio Cobolli 5.1% 6 Rafael Jódar 4.6% 7 Frances Tiafoe 2.5% 8 João Fonseca 2.4%
Women's title contenders — clay-Elo implied % # Player Implied % 1 Iga Świątek 28.3% 2 Aryna Sabalenka 17.6% 3 Coco Gauff 16.5% 4 Elina Svitolina 11% 5 Mirra Andreeva 7.3% 6 Madison Keys 4.2% 7 Anastasia Potapova 3.7% 8 Marta Kostyuk 3.4%
Tournament shocks & withdrawals
Men's shocks (seeded players already out) Seed Player Exited 1 Jannik Sinner second round 5 Ben Shelton second round 6 Daniil Medvedev first round 7 Taylor Fritz first round 9 Alexander Bublik first round 12 Jiří Lehečka first round 14 Luciano Darderi second round 16 Valentin Vacherot second round, walkover 20 Cameron Norrie first round, retired 21 Alejandro Davidovich Fokina second round 22 Arthur Rinderknech second round 23 Tomás Martín Etcheverry first round 29 Tallon Griekspoor first round 30 Corentin Moutet first round 32 Ugo Humbert second round
Women's shocks (seeded players already out) Seed Player Exited 2 Elena Rybakina second round 5 Jessica Pegula first round 12 Linda Nosková first round 13 Jasmine Paolini second round 14 Ekaterina Alexandrova first round 20 Liudmila Samsonova first round 21 Clara Tauson first round 23 Elise Mertens second round 24 Leylah Fernandez first round 26 Hailey Baptiste second round, retired 29 Jeļena Ostapenko second round 31 Cristina Bucșa first round 32 Wang Xinyu second round
Men's withdrawals (pre-tournament) Carlos Alcaraz — right wrist injuryLorenzo Musetti — left thigh injury
Model disclosure: Title-odds are derived from clay-Elo over remaining seeded players and notable upset winners. Illustrative only — no BO5 conversion, no age decay, no environmental factors. Not a betting recommendation.
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Signal Labs — data-driven sports analytics.
Probabilities derived from our surface-Elo model; analytical content, not betting advice.
For entertainment and educational purposes only.