Every pick we've posted. Every result — wins, losses, and the flat stretches. Plus a number almost nobody in this space will put next to their picks: closing-line value, the honest test of whether our number moved the right way against the market.
This is analytics and entertainment, not a tip service and not a promise of profit. The point of this page is simple: you shouldn't have to take our word for anything. So we published the whole scoreboard, including the parts that don't flatter us.
Our team-market win rate is — over — settled picks — but the number that actually measures skill is closing-line value, and ours is essentially flat. A flat CLV means this record sits within the range luck alone produces. So we do not claim a proven edge. What we sell is transparency — the full public record, wins and losses — never a promise that it keeps winning. Past results are not predictive of future outcomes. This is analytics and entertainment, not a promise of profit.
We don't pretend everything we do is a proven money-maker. It isn't, and anyone telling you their whole board is would be selling you the confidence, not the truth. Here's the real split.
Sides, totals, and moneylines. What our model sees versus what the market prices — posted publicly and graded in daylight.
Straight talk: our own testing says we do not reliably clear the closing line here — CLV sits around flat. So we don't sell this as an edge. What you're buying is the model's read and a fully public record you can audit. That transparency is the product.
Where our research suggests the most room versus the market. Logged the moment lines post, then graded against closing lines and the box score.
Straight talk: this is in forward validation. We're logging and grading in the open, but the live sample isn't deep enough yet to publish a win rate — so we don't. We'll show a rate only once it clears our promotion gate. No claimed number until then.
A hot streak can be luck. Closing-line value (CLV) is harder to fake: it measures whether the price we posted moved toward our side by the time the market closed. Positive over a large sample means our read was early; flat means we're tracking the market. We measure it on every pick, no-vig, and we publish it either way.
The honest tell of a real record is that it isn't a straight line up. Some months carry; some are barely above water. Here's ours, unfiltered.
| Month | Record | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV (n) |
|---|
Read it honestly: the early sample ran hot on a small number of picks; the more recent months are thinner margins closer to breakeven. That regression toward the market is exactly what our flat CLV predicts — and exactly why we frame team markets as transparency, not edge.
The same record, cut by what kind of bet it was. Pushes excluded from win rate; units are flat 1u staking, ROI is units returned on units risked.
| Bet type | Record | Win % | Units | ROI | CLV med |
|---|
The last two weeks of settled team-market picks, exactly as they landed. Losses and pushes included, because hiding them is the whole trick we refuse to run.
| Date | Conf. | Pick | Odds | CLV |
|---|