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Minnesota Wild vs Buffalo Sabres — 2026-10-06

7:00 PM ETKeyBank CenterNHLFINAL
Recap

Buffalo Sabres beat Minnesota Wild 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Minnesota Wild 3.0-3.1 Buffalo Sabres and gave Buffalo Sabres a 61% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Minnesota Wild
39%
Buffalo Sabres
61%
Projected
Wild 3.0 - 3.1 Sabres

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 18-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1580) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Wild would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Minnesota Wild
No recent games on file.
Buffalo Sabres
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Minnesota Wild 39% / Buffalo Sabres 61%. Projected Minnesota Wild 3 — 3.1 Buffalo Sabres.

Our NHL model rates Buffalo Sabres as the more likely winner at 61%. The driver is a 18-point Elo gap (1598 vs 1580) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Wild would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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