Tampa Bay Lightning beat Minnesota Wild 3-2, a 1-goal margin. We projected Minnesota Wild 3.0-3.1 Tampa Bay Lightning and gave Tampa Bay Lightning a 60% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.
Our NHL model rates Tampa Bay Lightning as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1580) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Wild would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
Pre-game model: Minnesota Wild 40% / Tampa Bay Lightning 60%. Projected Minnesota Wild 3 — 3.1 Tampa Bay Lightning.
Our NHL model rates Tampa Bay Lightning as the more likely winner at 60%. The driver is a 7-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1580) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Minnesota Wild would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.
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