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Ottawa Senators vs Boston Bruins — 2026-10-05

7:30 PM ETTD GardenNHLFINAL
Recap

Ottawa Senators beat Boston Bruins 4-1, a 3-goals margin. We projected Ottawa Senators 3.0-3.1 Boston Bruins and gave Boston Bruins a 59% win probability pre-game but the underdog flipped it.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Ottawa Senators
41%
Boston Bruins
59%
Projected
Senators 3.0 - 3.1 Bruins

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Boston Bruins as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1565 vs 1562) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ottawa Senators would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Ottawa Senators
No recent games on file.
Boston Bruins
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What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Ottawa Senators 41% / Boston Bruins 59%. Projected Ottawa Senators 3 — 3.1 Boston Bruins.

Our NHL model rates Boston Bruins as the more likely winner at 59%. The driver is a 4-point Elo gap (1565 vs 1562) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Ottawa Senators would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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