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Detroit Red Wings vs Montreal Canadiens — 2026-10-10

7:00 PM ETBell CentreNHLFINAL
Recap

Montreal Canadiens beat Detroit Red Wings 1-0, a 1-goal margin. We projected Detroit Red Wings 3.0-3.1 Montreal Canadiens and gave Montreal Canadiens a 65% win probability pre-game and our favorite held.

Model prediction (pre-game)

Detroit Red Wings
35%
Montreal Canadiens
65%
Projected
Wings 3.0 - 3.1 Canadiens

What our model sees

Our NHL model rates Montreal Canadiens as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1536) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Red Wings would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

Recent form (last 10)

Detroit Red Wings
No recent games on file.
Montreal Canadiens
No recent games on file.

What we said before the game

Pre-game model: Detroit Red Wings 35% / Montreal Canadiens 65%. Projected Detroit Red Wings 3 — 3.1 Montreal Canadiens.

Our NHL model rates Montreal Canadiens as the more likely winner at 65%. The driver is a 51-point Elo gap (1587 vs 1536) reflecting roster strength, recent results, and quality-of-opposition adjustments. Detroit Red Wings would need above-baseline variance to flip the script. This page auto-updates with the final score and our recap once the game ends.

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